BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Forest City
Class: 2A Class Rank: 26 Conference: (12-3) Overall: (17-6) Overall Strength = 84.04
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/29/2011 Home L 79.31 73 83 4A 31 ( 6-16) Mason City -4.96 -5.04
2 12/02/2011 Home W 92.55 73 44 2A 69 ( 8-16) Estherville LC 8.28 20.72
3 12/03/2011 Away W 93.27 53 51 1 3A 19 (20- 3) Webster City 9.00 -7.00
4 12/06/2011 Home W * 98.10 75 45 1A 51 (11-12) Belmond-Klemme 13.83 16.17
5 12/09/2011 Home L * 75.29 54 57 1A 16 (23- 3) North Iowa -8.98 5.98
6 12/13/2011 Home W * 91.70 74 51 2A 57 (12-11) Osage 7.43 15.57
7 12/16/2011 Away W * 87.80 59 53 2A 36 (14- 8) Garner-Hayfield 3.53 2.47
8 12/19/2011 Home W 95.11 69 58 3A 27 (15- 6) Cresco Crestwood 10.84 0.16
9 01/03/2012 Away W * 85.00 72 62 1A 42 (13-10) Mason City Newman 0.73 9.27
10 01/06/2012 Away W * 90.03 72 46 1A 84 ( 8-15) Britt West Hancock 5.76 20.24
11 01/07/2012 Home W 88.02 78 72 3A 29 (12-11) Clear Lake 3.75 2.25
12 01/13/2012 Away W * 96.91 67 29 1A 100 ( 5-18) Lake Mills 12.64 * 25.36
13 01/14/2012 Away W 76.58 58 56 3A 51 ( 4-18) Charles City -7.69 9.69
14 01/17/2012 Away W * 98.21 53 26 1A 51 (11-12) Belmond-Klemme 13.94 13.06
15 01/21/2012 Away L 79.54 58 61 3A 38 (10-12) Algona -4.73 1.73
16 01/24/2012 Away W * 78.82 61 54 2A 57 (12-11) Osage -5.45 12.45
17 01/27/2012 Home L * 62.69 55 71 2A 36 (14- 8) Garner-Hayfield -21.58 5.58
18 01/30/2012 Away L * 78.40 46 49 1A 16 (23- 3) North Iowa -5.87 2.87 was 01/20 now 01/30
19 01/31/2012 Home W * 78.89 75 68 1A 42 (13-10) Mason City Newman -5.38 12.38
20 02/03/2012 Home W * 74.92 77 63 1A 84 ( 8-15) Britt West Hancock -9.35 23.35
21 02/09/2012 Home W * 81.80 68 42 1A 100 ( 5-18) Lake Mills -2.47 * 28.47
22 02/16/2012 Home W * 80.69 60 58 2A 36 (14- 8) Garner-Hayfield -3.58 5.58
23 02/21/2012 Neutral L 79.87 45 55 2A 9 (22- 2) Sheffield West Fork -4.40 -5.60
Averages 84.50 64.1 54.5
Best game: 98.21 = 27 point win over Belmond-Klemme
Worst game: 62.69 = 16 point loss to Garner-Hayfield
Team stdev: 9.04